Template:Spell probability table

Spell probabilities

NOTE: In these tables:
1) Good/Evil/Neutral factions have been colored as sometimes spells are available based on alignment.
2) A "-" means a Mage Guild of that level is not available in this town.

Mage Guild Probabilities

The values in this table are the probabilities of a spell appearing in a given mage guild. This value is calculated by the game during run-time.

Details

• The formula for % chance for a spell to appear in a given mage guild is close to 1-(1-(x/100))^y, where x is the value in the Spell Slot Probabilities table and y is the # of spell slots for the spell level (e.g. 5 for level 1, 2 for level 4, +1 if the town is a Tower containing a library).
  • For Example: Magic Arrow has a 30% chance of appearing in a given level 1 spell slot (of which there are 5), so the chance to appear in a given mage guild is 1-(1-30/100)⁵=1-(0.7)⁵=1-0.16807 = ~83%
• BUT - this formula assumes that a spell could show up multiple times in a level which it can't. If a different spell is chosen for the first available slot, then the formula for the second available slot would be 1-(1-(x/(100-z))), where z is the value in this table of the chosen spell.
• Every subsequently chosen other spell would modify the formula for the probability of the next slot (e.g. 1-(1-(x/(100-z₁-z₂-z₃...)))
• If a spell could appear multiple times, the formula for every slot would be 1-(1-(x/100)).

NOTE: The values in this table are based on the simplistic formula. If someone wants to calculate the real values and edit this table, go for it!

	School	Level
Bless	Water	1	41	23	23	14	0	14	14	23	23	41	14	{{{15}}}

Spell Slot Probabilities

Spell Slot Probabilities

The values in this table are the probabilities of a single spell slot containing the given spell. This value is what is stored in the game files.

	School	Level
Bless	Water	1	10	5	5	0	0	3	3	5	5	10	3	{{{15}}}
Bloodlust	Fire	1	0	0	0	10	5	5	10	5	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Cure	Water	1	10	10	5	5	0	5	5	10	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Curse	Fire	1	0	0	3	5	10	5	0	0	0	0	0	{{{15}}}
Dispel	Water	1	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	{{{15}}}
Haste	Air	1	5	10	5	5	5	10	5	10	10	10	10	{{{15}}}
Magic Arrow	All	1	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	{{{15}}}
Protection from Fire	Fire	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	{{{15}}}
Protection from Water	Water	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	{{{15}}}
Shield	Earth	1	10	3	5	3	10	5	5	5	5	3	5	{{{15}}}
Slow	Earth	1	5	10	10	10	5	5	5	5	10	5	5	{{{15}}}
Stone Skin	Earth	1	5	5	10	5	10	5	10	5	5	5	10	{{{15}}}
Summon Boat	Water	1	3	5	5	5	3	5	5	3	3	5	5	{{{15}}}
View Air	Air	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	{{{15}}}
View Earth	Earth	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	{{{15}}}
Blind	Fire	2	4	6	2	12	4	4	4	6	8	0	8	{{{15}}}
Death Ripple	Earth	2	0	0	0	0	50	0	0	0	0	0	0	{{{15}}}
Disguise	Air	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	0	2	2	2	{{{15}}}
Disrupting Ray	Air	2	6	4	6	12	4	6	6	6	8	4	4	{{{15}}}
Fire Wall	Fire	2	4	4	4	12	4	4	4	4	8	4	4	{{{15}}}
Fortune	Air	2	4	6	4	4	2	2	4	4	2	4	2	{{{15}}}
Ice Bolt	Water	2	50	50	6	0	6	6	4	50	25	50	4	{{{15}}}
Lightning Bolt	Air	2	4	4	50	20	6	50	50	4	25	4	50	{{{15}}}
Precision	Air	2	6	6	4	8	2	6	4	4	2	4	6	{{{15}}}
Protection from Air	Air	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	{{{15}}}
Quicksand	Earth	2	4	4	6	4	4	4	6	6	4	4	4	{{{15}}}
Remove Obstacle	Water	2	4	4	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	{{{15}}}
Scuttle Boat	Water	2	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	8	4	{{{15}}}
Visions	All	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	{{{15}}}
Weakness	Water	2	2	2	2	8	4	4	4	4	4	8	4	{{{15}}}
Air Shield	Air	3	4	8	8	2	4	4	8	4	4	2	8	{{{15}}}
Animate Dead	Earth	3	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	{{{15}}}
Anti-Magic	Earth	3	12	8	8	4	8	8	12	10	12	10	8	{{{15}}}
Destroy Undead	Air	3	12	8	8	2	0	4	4	2	4	2	4	{{{15}}}
Earthquake	Earth	3	4	8	4	6	4	4	4	50	4	8	8	{{{15}}}
Fireball	Fire	3	8	8	8	50	12	16	12	2	12	2	12	{{{15}}}
Force Field	Earth	3	4	4	8	2	8	8	4	4	8	4	8	{{{15}}}
Forgetfulness	Water	3	8	8	4	4	4	4	4	4	8	8	4	{{{15}}}
Frost Ring	Water	3	16	16	16	0	12	12	12	4	12	30	12	{{{15}}}
Hypnotize	Air	3	4	4	8	6	0	8	4	4	12	4	4	{{{15}}}
Land Mine	Fire	3	8	8	8	6	8	12	8	2	4	4	8	{{{15}}}
Mirth	Water	3	4	4	4	2	4	4	12	2	4	8	4	{{{15}}}
Misfortune	Fire	3	4	4	4	6	8	4	4	2	4	4	6	{{{15}}}
Protection from Earth	Earth	3	4	4	4	2	4	4	4	0	4	4	4	{{{15}}}
Teleport	Water	3	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	10	8	10	10	{{{15}}}
Armageddon	Fire	4	0	0	0	5	5	10	-	-	0	0	0	{{{15}}}
Berserk	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	10	5	-	-	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Chain Lightning	Air	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10	{{{15}}}
Clone	Water	4	5	5	10	5	5	5	-	-	10	10	5	{{{15}}}
Counterstrike	Air	4	5	10	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Fire Shield	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Frenzy	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Inferno	Fire	4	5	5	5	10	5	5	-	-	10	5	10	{{{15}}}
Meteor Shower	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10	{{{15}}}
Prayer	Water	4	10	5	5	0	0	0	-	-	5	10	5	{{{15}}}
Resurrection	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	5	5	10	{{{15}}}
Slayer	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Sorrow	Earth	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5	{{{15}}}
Town Portal	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10	{{{15}}}
Water Walk	Water	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10	{{{15}}}
Summon Air Elemental	Air	5	-	0	14	0	16	0	-	-	12	-	16	{{{15}}}
Dimension Door	Air	5	-	20	14	16	16	16	-	-	13	-	16	{{{15}}}
Summon Earth Elemental	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	16	12	-	-	12	-	16	{{{15}}}
Summon Fire Elemental	Fire	5	-	0	0	16	0	12	-	-	12	-	0	{{{15}}}
Fly	Air	5	-	16	16	16	16	12	-	-	13	-	20	{{{15}}}
Implosion	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	20	12	-	-	13	-	16	{{{15}}}
Magic Mirror	Air	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	13	-	16	{{{15}}}
Sacrifice	Fire	5	-	0	0	20	16	12	-	-	0	-	0	{{{15}}}
Summon Water Elemental	Water	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	12	-	0	{{{15}}}