Template:Spell probability table

Spell probabilities

NOTE: In these tables:
1) Good/Evil/Neutral factions have been colored as sometimes spells are available based on alignment.
2) A "-" means a Mage Guild of that level is not available in this town.

Mage Guild Probabilities

The values in this table are the probabilities of a spell appearing in a given mage guild. These values are not in the game files.

Details

• The formula for % chance for a spell to appear in a given mage guild is close to 1-(1-(x/100))^y, where x is the value in the Spell Slot Probabilities table and y is the # of spell slots for the spell level (e.g. 5 for level 1, 2 for level 4, +1 if the town is a Tower containing a library).
  • For Example: Magic Arrow has a 30% chance of appearing in a given level 1 spell slot (of which there are 5), so the chance to appear in a given mage guild is 1-(1-30/100)⁵=1-(0.7)⁵=1-0.16807 = ~83%
• BUT - this formula assumes that a spell could show up multiple times in a level which it can't. If a different spell is chosen for the first available slot, then the formula for the second available slot would be 1-(1-(x/(100-z))), where z is the value in this table of the chosen spell.
• Every subsequently chosen other spell would modify the formula for the probability of the next slot (e.g. 1-(1-(x/(100-z₁-z₂-z₃...)))
• If a spell could appear multiple times, the formula for every slot would be 1-(1-(x/100)).
• As such, the actual probabilities presented below are generally higher than (1-(1-(x/100))^y), since for each spell chosen in a slot the remaining spell pool is reduced and any given spell's chances go up.

NOTE: The 2 Tower values are for without/with the library.

	School	Level
Bless	Water	1	54	32	31 / 39	0	0	19	20	31	31	53	20
Bloodlust	Fire	1	0	0	0 / 0	53	32	30	53	31	31	31	31
Cure	Water	1	54	54	31 / 39	31	0	30	31	53	31	31	31
Curse	Fire	1	0	0	20 / 25	31	54	30	0	0	0	0	0
Dispel	Water	1	54	54	53 / 63	53	54	52	53	53	53	53	53
Haste	Air	1	32	54	31 / 39	31	32	52	31	53	53	53	53
Magic Arrow	All	1	89	89	88 / 94	88	89	88	88	88	88	88	88
Protection from Fire	Fire	1	20	20	20 / 25	20	20	19	20	20	20	20	20
Protection from Water	Water	1	20	20	20 / 25	20	20	19	20	20	20	20	20
Shield	Earth	1	54	20	31 / 39	20	54	30	31	31	31	20	31
Slow	Earth	1	32	54	53 / 63	53	32	30	31	31	53	31	31
Stone Skin	Earth	1	32	32	53 / 63	31	54	30	53	31	31	31	53
Summon Boat	Water	1	20	32	31 / 39	31	20	30	31	20	20	31	31
View Air	Air	1	20	20	20 / 25	20	20	19	20	20	20	20	20
View Earth	Earth	1	20	20	20 / 25	20	20	19	20	20	20	20	20
Blind	Fire	2	25	35	13 / 18	47	24	25	24	35	37	0	44
Death Ripple	Earth	2	0	0	0 / 0	0	95	0	0	0	0	0	0
Disguise	Air	2	13	13	13 / 18	18	13	13	13	0	10	13	13
Disrupting Ray	Air	2	35	25	35 / 46	47	24	35	35	35	37	25	25
Fire Wall	Fire	2	25	25	25 / 33	47	24	25	24	25	37	25	25
Fortune	Air	2	25	35	25 / 33	18	13	13	24	25	10	25	13
Ice Bolt	Water	2	95	95	35 / 46	0	35	35	24	96	77	96	25
Lightning Bolt	Air	2	25	25	96 / 98	65	35	95	95	25	77	25	96
Precision	Air	2	35	35	25 / 33	34	13	35	24	25	10	25	35
Protection from Air	Air	2	13	13	13 / 18	18	13	13	13	13	10	13	13
Quicksand	Earth	2	25	25	35 / 46	18	24	25	35	35	20	25	25
Remove Obstacle	Water	2	25	25	35 / 46	18	24	25	24	25	20	25	25
Scuttle Boat	Water	2	35	25	25 / 33	18	24	25	24	25	20	45	25
Visions	All	2	13	13	13 / 18	18	13	13	13	13	10	13	13
Weakness	Water	2	13	13	13 / 18	34	24	25	24	25	20	45	25
Air Shield	Air	3	13	24	24 / 32	9	13	13	24	17	13	7	24
Animate Dead	Earth	3	0	0	0 / 0	0	44	0	0	0	0	0	0
Anti-Magic	Earth	3	35	24	24 / 32	17	24	24	35	40	35	32	24
Destroy Undead	Air	3	35	24	24 / 32	9	0	13	13	9	13	7	13
Earthquake	Earth	3	13	24	13 / 17	25	13	13	13	90	13	26	24
Fireball	Fire	3	24	24	24 / 32	90	35	44	35	9	35	7	34
Force Field	Earth	3	13	13	24 / 32	9	24	24	13	17	24	14	24
Forgetfulness	Water	3	24	24	13 / 17	17	13	13	13	17	24	26	13
Frost Ring	Water	3	44	43	43 / 55	0	35	35	35	17	35	69	34
Hypnotize	Air	3	13	13	24 / 32	25	0	24	13	17	35	14	13
Land Mine	Fire	3	24	24	24 / 32	25	24	35	24	9	13	14	24
Mirth	Water	3	13	13	13 / 17	9	13	13	35	9	13	26	13
Misfortune	Fire	3	13	13	13 / 17	25	24	13	13	9	13	14	18
Protection from Earth	Earth	3	13	13	13 / 17	9	13	13	13	0	13	14	13
Teleport	Water	3	24	24	24 / 32	32	24	24	24	40	24	32	29
Armageddon	Fire	4	0	0	0 / 0	10	10	20	-	-	0	0	0
Berserk	Fire	4	10	10	10 / 16	10	20	10	-	-	10	10	10
Chain Lightning	Air	4	20	20	20 / 29	20	20	20	-	-	20	20	20
Clone	Water	4	10	10	20 / 29	10	10	10	-	-	20	20	10
Counterstrike	Air	4	10	20	10 / 16	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Fire Shield	Fire	4	10	10	10 / 16	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Frenzy	Fire	4	10	10	10 / 16	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Inferno	Fire	4	10	10	10 / 16	20	10	10	-	-	20	10	20
Meteor Shower	Earth	4	20	20	20 / 29	20	20	20	-	-	20	20	20
Prayer	Water	4	20	10	10 / 16	0	0	0	-	-	10	20	10
Resurrection	Earth	4	20	20	20 / 29	20	20	20	-	-	10	10	20
Slayer	Fire	4	10	10	10 / 16	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Sorrow	Earth	4	10	10	10 / 16	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Town Portal	Earth	4	20	20	20 / 29	20	20	20	-	-	20	20	20
Water Walk	Water	4	20	20	20 / 29	20	20	20	-	-	20	20	20
Summon Air Elemental	Air	5	-	0	14 / 28	0	16	0	-	-	12	-	16
Dimension Door	Air	5	-	20	14 / 28	16	16	16	-	-	13	-	16
Summon Earth Elemental	Earth	5	-	16	14 / 28	16	16	12	-	-	12	-	16
Summon Fire Elemental	Fire	5	-	0	0 / 0	16	0	12	-	-	12	-	0
Fly	Air	5	-	16	16 / 32	16	16	12	-	-	13	-	20
Implosion	Earth	5	-	16	14 / 28	16	20	12	-	-	13	-	16
Magic Mirror	Air	5	-	16	14 / 28	0	0	12	-	-	13	-	16
Sacrifice	Fire	5	-	0	0 / 0	20	16	12	-	-	0	-	0
Summon Water Elemental	Water	5	-	16	14 / 28	0	0	12	-	-	12	-	0

Spell Slot Probabilities

Spell Slot Probabilities

The values in this table are the probabilities of a single spell slot containing the given spell. These are percentages based on the values stored in the game files.

	School	Level
Bless	Water	1	10	5	5	0	0	3	3	5	5	10	3
Bloodlust	Fire	1	0	0	0	10	5	5	10	5	5	5	5
Cure	Water	1	10	10	5	5	0	5	5	10	5	5	5
Curse	Fire	1	0	0	3	5	10	5	0	0	0	0	0
Dispel	Water	1	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Haste	Air	1	5	10	5	5	5	10	5	10	10	10	10
Magic Arrow	All	1	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
Protection from Fire	Fire	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Protection from Water	Water	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Shield	Earth	1	10	3	5	3	10	5	5	5	5	3	5
Slow	Earth	1	5	10	10	10	5	5	5	5	10	5	5
Stone Skin	Earth	1	5	5	10	5	10	5	10	5	5	5	10
Summon Boat	Water	1	3	5	5	5	3	5	5	3	3	5	5
View Air	Air	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
View Earth	Earth	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Blind	Fire	2	4	6	2	12	4	4	4	6	8	0	8
Death Ripple	Earth	2	0	0	0	0	50	0	0	0	0	0	0
Disguise	Air	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	0	2	2	2
Disrupting Ray	Air	2	6	4	6	12	4	6	6	6	8	4	4
Fire Wall	Fire	2	4	4	4	12	4	4	4	4	8	4	4
Fortune	Air	2	4	6	4	4	2	2	4	4	2	4	2
Ice Bolt	Water	2	50	50	6	0	6	6	4	50	25	50	4
Lightning Bolt	Air	2	4	4	50	20	6	50	50	4	25	4	50
Precision	Air	2	6	6	4	8	2	6	4	4	2	4	6
Protection from Air	Air	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Quicksand	Earth	2	4	4	6	4	4	4	6	6	4	4	4
Remove Obstacle	Water	2	4	4	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Scuttle Boat	Water	2	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	8	4
Visions	All	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Weakness	Water	2	2	2	2	8	4	4	4	4	4	8	4
Air Shield	Air	3	4	8	8	2	4	4	8	4	4	2	8
Animate Dead	Earth	3	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	0	0	0
Anti-Magic	Earth	3	12	8	8	4	8	8	12	10	12	10	8
Destroy Undead	Air	3	12	8	8	2	0	4	4	2	4	2	4
Earthquake	Earth	3	4	8	4	6	4	4	4	50	4	8	8
Fireball	Fire	3	8	8	8	50	12	16	12	2	12	2	12
Force Field	Earth	3	4	4	8	2	8	8	4	4	8	4	8
Forgetfulness	Water	3	8	8	4	4	4	4	4	4	8	8	4
Frost Ring	Water	3	16	16	16	0	12	12	12	4	12	30	12
Hypnotize	Air	3	4	4	8	6	0	8	4	4	12	4	4
Land Mine	Fire	3	8	8	8	6	8	12	8	2	4	4	8
Mirth	Water	3	4	4	4	2	4	4	12	2	4	8	4
Misfortune	Fire	3	4	4	4	6	8	4	4	2	4	4	6
Protection from Earth	Earth	3	4	4	4	2	4	4	4	0	4	4	4
Teleport	Water	3	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	10	8	10	10
Armageddon	Fire	4	0	0	0	5	5	10	-	-	0	0	0
Berserk	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	10	5	-	-	5	5	5
Chain Lightning	Air	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Clone	Water	4	5	5	10	5	5	5	-	-	10	10	5
Counterstrike	Air	4	5	10	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Fire Shield	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Frenzy	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Inferno	Fire	4	5	5	5	10	5	5	-	-	10	5	10
Meteor Shower	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Prayer	Water	4	10	5	5	0	0	0	-	-	5	10	5
Resurrection	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	5	5	10
Slayer	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Sorrow	Earth	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Town Portal	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Water Walk	Water	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Summon Air Elemental	Air	5	-	0	14	0	16	0	-	-	12	-	16
Dimension Door	Air	5	-	20	14	16	16	16	-	-	13	-	16
Summon Earth Elemental	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	16	12	-	-	12	-	16
Summon Fire Elemental	Fire	5	-	0	0	16	0	12	-	-	12	-	0
Fly	Air	5	-	16	16	16	16	12	-	-	13	-	20
Implosion	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	20	12	-	-	13	-	16
Magic Mirror	Air	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	13	-	16
Sacrifice	Fire	5	-	0	0	20	16	12	-	-	0	-	0
Summon Water Elemental	Water	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	12	-	0