Template:Spell probability table

Spell probabilities

NOTE: In these tables:
1) Good/Evil/Neutral factions have been colored as sometimes spells are available based on alignment.
2) A "-" means a Mage Guild of that level is not available in this town.

Mage Guild Probabilities

The values in this table are the probabilities of a spell appearing in a given mage guild. These values are not in the game files.

Details

• The formula for % chance for a spell to appear in a given mage guild is close to 1-(1-(x/100))^y, where x is the value in the Spell Slot Probabilities table and y is the # of spell slots for the spell level (e.g. 5 for level 1, 2 for level 4, +1 if the town is a Tower containing a library).
  • For Example: Magic Arrow has a 30% chance of appearing in a given level 1 spell slot (of which there are 5), so the chance to appear in a given mage guild is 1-(1-30/100)⁵=1-(0.7)⁵=1-0.16807 = ~83%
• BUT - this formula assumes that a spell could show up multiple times in a level which it can't. If a different spell is chosen for the first available slot, then the formula for the second available slot would be 1-(1-(x/(100-z))), where z is the value in this table of the chosen spell.
• Every subsequently chosen other spell would modify the formula for the probability of the next slot (e.g. 1-(1-(x/(100-z₁-z₂-z₃...)))
• If a spell could appear multiple times, the formula for every slot would be 1-(1-(x/100)).

NOTE: The values in this table are based on the rough, simplistic formula. The real values will be slightly higher. If someone wants to calculate the real values and edit this table, go for it!

	School	Level
Bless	Water	1	41	23	23	0	0	14	14	23	23	41	14
Bloodlust	Fire	1	0	0	0	41	23	23	41	23	23	23	23
Cure	Water	1	41	41	23	23	0	23	23	41	23	23	23
Curse	Fire	1	0	0	14	23	41	23	0	0	0	0	0
Dispel	Water	1	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41
Haste	Air	1	23	41	23	23	23	41	23	41	41	41	41
Magic Arrow	All	1	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
Protection from Fire	Fire	1	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Protection from Water	Water	1	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Shield	Earth	1	41	14	23	14	41	23	23	23	23	14	23
Slow	Earth	1	23	41	41	41	23	23	23	23	41	23	23
Stone Skin	Earth	1	23	23	41	23	41	23	41	23	23	23	41
Summon Boat	Water	1	14	23	23	23	14	23	23	14	14	23	23
View Air	Air	1	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
View Earth	Earth	1	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Blind	Fire	2	15	22	8	40	15	15	15	22	28	0	28
Death Ripple	Earth	2	0	0	0	0	94	0	0	0	0	0	0
Disguise	Air	2	8	8	8	15	8	8	8	0	8	8	8
Disrupting Ray	Air	2	22	15	22	40	15	22	22	22	28	15	15
Fire Wall	Fire	2	15	15	15	40	15	15	15	15	28	15	15
Fortune	Air	2	15	22	15	15	8	8	15	15	8	15	8
Ice Bolt	Water	2	94	94	22	0	22	22	15	94	68	94	15
Lightning Bolt	Air	2	15	15	94	59	22	94	94	15	68	15	94
Precision	Air	2	22	22	15	28	8	22	15	15	8	15	22
Protection from Air	Air	2	8	8	8	15	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Quicksand	Earth	2	15	15	22	15	15	15	22	22	15	15	15
Remove Obstacle	Water	2	15	15	22	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Scuttle Boat	Water	2	22	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	28	15
Visions	All	2	8	8	8	15	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Weakness	Water	2	8	8	8	28	15	15	15	15	15	28	15
Air Shield	Air	3	12	22	22	6	12	12	22	12	12	6	22
Animate Dead	Earth	3	0	0	0	0	41	0	0	0	0	0	0
Anti-Magic	Earth	3	32	22	22	12	22	22	32	27	32	27	22
Destroy Undead	Air	3	32	22	22	6	0	12	12	6	12	6	12
Earthquake	Earth	3	12	22	12	17	12	12	12	88	12	22	22
Fireball	Fire	3	22	22	22	88	32	41	32	6	32	6	32
Force Field	Earth	3	12	12	22	6	22	22	12	12	22	12	22
Forgetfulness	Water	3	22	22	12	12	12	12	12	12	22	22	12
Frost Ring	Water	3	41	41	41	0	32	32	32	12	32	66	32
Hypnotize	Air	3	12	12	22	17	0	22	12	12	32	12	12
Land Mine	Fire	3	22	22	22	17	22	32	22	6	12	12	22
Mirth	Water	3	12	12	12	6	12	12	32	6	12	22	12
Misfortune	Fire	3	12	12	12	17	22	12	12	6	12	12	17
Protection from Earth	Earth	3	12	12	12	6	12	12	12	0	12	12	12
Teleport	Water	3	22	22	22	22	22	22	22	27	22	27	27
Armageddon	Fire	4	0	0	0	10	10	19	-	-	0	0	0
Berserk	Fire	4	10	10	10	10	19	10	-	-	10	10	10
Chain Lightning	Air	4	19	19	19	19	19	19	-	-	19	19	19
Clone	Water	4	10	10	19	10	10	10	-	-	19	19	10
Counterstrike	Air	4	10	19	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Fire Shield	Fire	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Frenzy	Fire	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Inferno	Fire	4	10	10	10	19	10	10	-	-	19	10	19
Meteor Shower	Earth	4	19	19	19	19	19	19	-	-	19	19	19
Prayer	Water	4	19	10	10	0	0	0	-	-	10	19	10
Resurrection	Earth	4	19	19	19	19	19	19	-	-	10	10	19
Slayer	Fire	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Sorrow	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Town Portal	Earth	4	19	19	19	19	19	19	-	-	19	19	19
Water Walk	Water	4	19	19	19	19	19	19	-	-	19	19	19
Summon Air Elemental	Air	5	-	0	14	0	16	0	-	-	12	-	16
Dimension Door	Air	5	-	20	14	16	16	16	-	-	13	-	16
Summon Earth Elemental	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	16	12	-	-	12	-	16
Summon Fire Elemental	Fire	5	-	0	0	16	0	12	-	-	12	-	0
Fly	Air	5	-	16	16	16	16	12	-	-	13	-	20
Implosion	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	20	12	-	-	13	-	16
Magic Mirror	Air	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	13	-	16
Sacrifice	Fire	5	-	0	0	20	16	12	-	-	0	-	0
Summon Water Elemental	Water	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	12	-	0

Spell Slot Probabilities

Spell Slot Probabilities

The values in this table are the probabilities of a single spell slot containing the given spell. These values are what is stored in the game files.

	School	Level
Bless	Water	1	10	5	5	0	0	3	3	5	5	10	3
Bloodlust	Fire	1	0	0	0	10	5	5	10	5	5	5	5
Cure	Water	1	10	10	5	5	0	5	5	10	5	5	5
Curse	Fire	1	0	0	3	5	10	5	0	0	0	0	0
Dispel	Water	1	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Haste	Air	1	5	10	5	5	5	10	5	10	10	10	10
Magic Arrow	All	1	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
Protection from Fire	Fire	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Protection from Water	Water	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Shield	Earth	1	10	3	5	3	10	5	5	5	5	3	5
Slow	Earth	1	5	10	10	10	5	5	5	5	10	5	5
Stone Skin	Earth	1	5	5	10	5	10	5	10	5	5	5	10
Summon Boat	Water	1	3	5	5	5	3	5	5	3	3	5	5
View Air	Air	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
View Earth	Earth	1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Blind	Fire	2	4	6	2	12	4	4	4	6	8	0	8
Death Ripple	Earth	2	0	0	0	0	50	0	0	0	0	0	0
Disguise	Air	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	0	2	2	2
Disrupting Ray	Air	2	6	4	6	12	4	6	6	6	8	4	4
Fire Wall	Fire	2	4	4	4	12	4	4	4	4	8	4	4
Fortune	Air	2	4	6	4	4	2	2	4	4	2	4	2
Ice Bolt	Water	2	50	50	6	0	6	6	4	50	25	50	4
Lightning Bolt	Air	2	4	4	50	20	6	50	50	4	25	4	50
Precision	Air	2	6	6	4	8	2	6	4	4	2	4	6
Protection from Air	Air	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Quicksand	Earth	2	4	4	6	4	4	4	6	6	4	4	4
Remove Obstacle	Water	2	4	4	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Scuttle Boat	Water	2	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	8	4
Visions	All	2	2	2	2	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Weakness	Water	2	2	2	2	8	4	4	4	4	4	8	4
Air Shield	Air	3	4	8	8	2	4	4	8	4	4	2	8
Animate Dead	Earth	3	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	0	0	0
Anti-Magic	Earth	3	12	8	8	4	8	8	12	10	12	10	8
Destroy Undead	Air	3	12	8	8	2	0	4	4	2	4	2	4
Earthquake	Earth	3	4	8	4	6	4	4	4	50	4	8	8
Fireball	Fire	3	8	8	8	50	12	16	12	2	12	2	12
Force Field	Earth	3	4	4	8	2	8	8	4	4	8	4	8
Forgetfulness	Water	3	8	8	4	4	4	4	4	4	8	8	4
Frost Ring	Water	3	16	16	16	0	12	12	12	4	12	30	12
Hypnotize	Air	3	4	4	8	6	0	8	4	4	12	4	4
Land Mine	Fire	3	8	8	8	6	8	12	8	2	4	4	8
Mirth	Water	3	4	4	4	2	4	4	12	2	4	8	4
Misfortune	Fire	3	4	4	4	6	8	4	4	2	4	4	6
Protection from Earth	Earth	3	4	4	4	2	4	4	4	0	4	4	4
Teleport	Water	3	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	10	8	10	10
Armageddon	Fire	4	0	0	0	5	5	10	-	-	0	0	0
Berserk	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	10	5	-	-	5	5	5
Chain Lightning	Air	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Clone	Water	4	5	5	10	5	5	5	-	-	10	10	5
Counterstrike	Air	4	5	10	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Fire Shield	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Frenzy	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Inferno	Fire	4	5	5	5	10	5	5	-	-	10	5	10
Meteor Shower	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Prayer	Water	4	10	5	5	0	0	0	-	-	5	10	5
Resurrection	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	5	5	10
Slayer	Fire	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Sorrow	Earth	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-	-	5	5	5
Town Portal	Earth	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Water Walk	Water	4	10	10	10	10	10	10	-	-	10	10	10
Summon Air Elemental	Air	5	-	0	14	0	16	0	-	-	12	-	16
Dimension Door	Air	5	-	20	14	16	16	16	-	-	13	-	16
Summon Earth Elemental	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	16	12	-	-	12	-	16
Summon Fire Elemental	Fire	5	-	0	0	16	0	12	-	-	12	-	0
Fly	Air	5	-	16	16	16	16	12	-	-	13	-	20
Implosion	Earth	5	-	16	14	16	20	12	-	-	13	-	16
Magic Mirror	Air	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	13	-	16
Sacrifice	Fire	5	-	0	0	20	16	12	-	-	0	-	0
Summon Water Elemental	Water	5	-	16	14	0	0	12	-	-	12	-	0